Elon Musk pegs our odds at not being in a video game as "one in billions". The argument goes something like this: Our nascent AI technology is advancing so fast that it is difficult to imagine that it could not produce a realistic simulation of the universe. Once that happens, the number of virtual universes will outnumber the real. Mumble mumble recursion mumble.
Here's my counter argument. Any magic AI technology on its way to delivering a credible simulation of the universe will stop and tell the user that it would be cheaper to just create a real universe instead.
